Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.803473 2.165063 2.571734 3.061680 3.634573 4.281829 5.067014
2026-01-04 1.310617 1.774679 2.353784 3.124108 4.115751 5.342537 6.967403
2026-01-11 1.034888 1.548271 2.245834 3.250607 4.645953 6.497889 9.120714
2026-01-18 0.814732 1.330947 2.086440 3.251700 4.977166 7.405553 11.039920
2026-01-25 0.631553 1.119093 1.882836 3.135916 5.100641 8.012254 12.584406
2026-02-01 0.496695 0.949498 1.704858 3.016144 5.181015 8.540490 14.044945
2026-02-08 0.413702 0.847254 1.612637 3.009806 5.423738 9.323314 15.952010
2026-02-15 0.350173 0.765329 1.538139 3.016131 5.678482 10.139526 17.978683
2026-02-22 0.293673 0.683999 1.448957 2.978933 5.846654 10.820729 19.838148
2026-03-01 0.235727 0.586363 1.310788 2.827150 5.785405 11.096731 21.028147
2026-03-08 0.199568 0.527352 1.237960 2.787832 5.921821 11.724053 22.874174
2026-03-15 0.171525 0.480389 1.181477 2.771289 6.096152 12.430617 24.916383
2026-03-22 0.160007 0.471707 1.208286 2.936042 6.655910 13.919120 28.548863
2026-03-29 0.143801 0.447513 1.196154 3.015146 7.050886 15.132354 31.775000
2026-04-05 0.132468 0.433664 1.205813 3.143896 7.563951 16.621141 35.652148
2026-04-12 0.115907 0.401063 1.163910 3.146931 7.804909 17.586646 38.583371
2026-04-19 0.096598 0.355139 1.079549 3.035135 7.776054 17.995244 40.432384
2026-04-26 0.080288 0.313766 0.998907 2.919041 7.720957 18.339326 42.171645
2026-05-03 0.070426 0.290605 0.963673 2.912945 7.921553 19.244786 45.146336
2026-05-10 0.062275 0.270993 0.934816 2.919104 8.151601 20.232997 48.371300
2026-05-17 0.054013 0.248464 0.892880 2.882996 8.272129 20.985492 51.142542
2026-05-24 0.044207 0.216734 0.815891 2.735655 8.091592 21.033466 52.363622
2026-05-31 0.038312 0.198659 0.778714 2.697491 8.189726 21.736270 55.103981